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The First Real Taste of 3G Examined

4th December 2002

A glimpse of the near future can actually be seen by looking at the palm of a South Koreans hand - but the price of a prediction is just too high.

Inset is a screensot of SKT's portal.

Before now, very few people could tell a story by looking at the palm of another person's hand. Today, more and more people can see a story unfold in the palm of their hand - and many of those people live in South Korea!

This is not because the population of South Korea have all suddenly acquired psychic gifts, but because more and more people out there can put their mobile phone in the palm of their hand and watch video on it using the service "Video on Demand" (VoD).

South Koreas biggest mobile operator SKT launched their CDMA 1X mobile network in late 2000 and were the first in the world to thereby offer their customers download speeds of up to 144 Kbps. In practice the mobile users are getting download speeds of around 70 Kbps. At these speeds it is no problem to transmit multimedia content like VoD and Audio on Demand (AoD) over the network and - after the first mobile phones that could handle VoD and AoD were introduced on the market in July 2001 - directly to the consumers mobile phones.

However, it is not just the South Korean mobile market that has been looking forward with great expectation to these new and exciting mobile possibilities. The European mobile operators and terminal manufactures have also been quietly hoping that these types of new multimedia services could help close the economic gaps that the huge investments in 3G licenses and infrastructure have left unanswered. Video and audio services is a new frontier that the market players are quietly praying for will have a future in the palm of their customers hands… But right now the reality is that the users in South Korea have not really adopted these new services on the scale that had been hoped for - and content providers have not really developed very many new attractive mobile services based on these new possibilities. Not because it doesn't work, or it is slow or anything like that, but simply because the pricing structure on these types of new services has been - to put it mildly - a catastrophe.

The analysis and conclusion about these new types of services are part of Strand Consults new report about the market for mobile services in South Korea "The Korean market for Mobile Services - a window to 3G", which describes and analysis in detail many of the new and media-rich mobile services available to mobile consumers in South Korea.

The movie trailers that the South Korean mobile operator SKT offers its customers are up to 30 seconds long, while music videos are up to around 4 minutes. When the services launched, SKT charged just under 1$ for the transmission cost of a 30 second movie trailer and 8$ for a 4 minute music video! Needless to say, these prices were just too high for the South Korean mobile consumers, who you must remember, do not have the same income level as most western European countries. Add to this that traffic fees of that size leave no room for content providers to add a content fee and you do not have to be a rocket scientist to work out that a) mobile consumers will not use these services and b) content providers have no incentive to develop any services at all that they cannot earn any money on. One solution could have been that the SKT offered a revenue share on the high traffic cost, but SKT was not prepared to do that.

In 2002, SKT halved the price of traffic fees on these types of services in an attempt to boost the market. But even at half the price the mobile consumers still find these services expensive, making the situation for content providers exactly the same as before - little or no room for content fees and therefore no incentive to create new services.

So that is the status today for media-rich services that could really boost traffic on mobile operators networks. The content providers are staying away from these services, waiting for better pricing models and revenue sharing opportunities. The mobile consumers are now using VoD and AoD services to some extent, mostly shorter promotional movie trailers and music clips being offered without any content fee as part of promotional marketing for new movies in the cinemas and new CD launches.

If there is to be a mass-market for VoD and AoD mobile services, the mobile operators will have to find a much more flexible - and cheaper - pricing solution that is much more in line with what the mobile consumers are willing to pay for these types of services and that gives content providers much more room to add content fees on top of traffic fees. So for now, even though more and more South Korean mobile users are looking at the palm of their hands and predicting what will be showing in movie theatres in the near future, we predict that mobile operators around the world will have to look again in their crystal balls for more flexible pricing models, before innovative video and music services on mobile phones become one of the success stories that mobile operators are hoping for on the coming 3G platforms.

As such, the South Korean market represents the first real taste of the 3G challenges ahead for European operators, content and services providers. The South Korean experience is a rare one. It is an important one. It is a success story

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TODAY'S PRESS RELEASES
Combined Effort for 3G CDMA2000 1xEV-DV Test
okia and Racal Instruments announced that the two companies are working together to deliver test equipment for third generation CDMA2000 1xEV-DV networks.
CDMA2000 1xEV-DO 3G Deployment In Indonesia
PT Wireless Indonesia (WIN), a cellular telecommunication network and service provider in Indonesia, has selected Airvana to enable high-speed wireless and broadband data services for its CDMA2000 1xEV-DO network in Indonesia.
CDMA2000 1xEV-DO 3G Trial in Alaska
Alaska Communications Systems the leading integrated communications provider in Alaska, has selected Airvana to provide high-speed wireless and broadband equipment for its CDMA2000 1xEV-DO
Wireless Video Services in India
Thin Multimedia, Inc., a leading provider of wireless video streaming solutions, today announced that Reliance Infocomm Ltd. has licensed Thin Multimedia's complete mobile video streaming solution to provide video services to wireless subscribers in India. Reliance Infocomm is a subsidiary of the Reliance Group, India's largest private enterprise.
135 Million CDMA Wireless Users
The CDMA Development Group (CDG) (www.cdg.org) today reported that there were nearly 135 million CDMA subscribers and 24 million CDMA2000 users worldwide at the end of the third quarter of 2002.
Nortel Link Wi-Fi Networks with CDMA, GPRS, 3G UMTS Networks
Nortel Networks announced the ability to provide integrated solutions for wireless operators that will seamlessly link existing and future Wireless Wide Area Networks (WWANs) with fast-emerging wireless 'hot spots,' also known as Wireless Local Area Networks (WLANs).
3G Conformance Test Bonanza
Anite announced the availability of 200 3rd Generation Partnership Project (3GPP) conformance test cases. The test cases enable the testing and approval of mobile phones and wireless terminals for use on next-generation cellular networks.
J-Phone Have 3G Ready For Xmas
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The First Real Taste of 3G Examined
A glimpse of the near future can actually be seen by looking at the palm of a South Koreans hand - but the price of a prediction is just too high.
Nokia Expects 10% Growth in Wireless Handset Industry in 2003
The company expects 10% or slightly more handset market growth in 2003 - while anticipating a challenging industry environment in wireless infrastructure to continue
Fujitsu to Exhibit 3G Mobile Solutions
Fujitsu Limited will demonstrate a variety of advanced broadband and mobile products and solutions at ITU TELECOM ASIA 2002 which will take place in Hong Kong
Eurotel Pay For 3G Licence
EuroTel Bratislava announced that the second installment of the UMTS license fee in the amount of Sk 999 million was paid in full to the Telecommunications Office of the Slovak Republic
Live Demonstrations of Voice Instant Messaging Over a 3G Network
Airvana Inc and Winphoria Networks Inc will demonstrate push-to-talk applications over a live CDMA2000 1xEV-DO network and interoperability with 1xRTT networks
3G CDMA Live Wireless Offerings
QUALCOMM Incorporated announced that the Company will be exhibiting and demonstrating its industry-leading wireless solutions at 2002 CDMA Americas Congress
Ericsson and Hutchison Sign 3G Managed Services Agreement
Ericsson and Hutchison have signed a seven-year agreement to implement an innovative services business model that will deliver increased efficiency and significant cost savings.
Telstra Launches 3G Mobile Service
Telstra launched Australia’s first fully operational third generation (3G) mobile service for business customers, which is faster, more powerful and feature rich than anything they would have experienced before.
J-Phone To Launch 3G Services in December
After twice delaying a planned launch, Japan's J-Phone Corp is finally set to start commercial third-generation (3G) mobile phone services this month, testing the water for British parent Vodafone Group Plc.
Hutchison 3G under pressure to merge 
HUTCHISON 3G, the UK’s new entrant mobile operator, is facing growing pressure to merge with another group - possibly MmO2, formerly BT Cellnet - early next year after suggestions last week that it cannot meet its loan covenant requirements by the second half of next year.
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